Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Poll of Polls?

I love how the polls all come up with so many different results. They're supposed to be reliable, statistical, and provide insight into the election... the insight I get, is that they're about as reliable as dollar store deodorant. Okay, so I'm not giving them much credit... I sure do like what they say about my main man! But here's one of my requests: Let's give Obama a few more points!! And I know how to do it!

We see poll after poll of Obama and McCain being compared to eachother, but I say, "What about the other guys??" What happened to including Nadar and Barr into the mix? Let's come up with a number of points that may, in fact, be added to Obama's numbers IF the cell phone people are counted. Just adding in Nadar and Barr we see at least 2 more points added to Obama's lead. What if we now add in the "cell phone voters"? The polls lean much to my preferences, however, I think Gallup can do better! Come on, Pew, I don't want any of this "14pt lead" stuff... lemme see a TWENTY!!!!!!

Here comes another Becky theory... Maybe the reason the Bradley Effect hasn't been seen in any of Obama's prior campaign races is for the very reasons I stated above? The lack of reporting in the polls that I have pointed out actually offsets the Bradley Effect that could/would/does take place.

A Wall Street Journal piece called "Are the Polls Accurate?" by Micheal Barone sparked my thinking along with the some of the polls listed on RealClearPolitics.com... This blog is not extremely well researched and/or cited, however, I think this idea is some good food for thought.

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